A significant number of UK businesses that trade internationally expect to see an increase in their exports over the coming year, according to an Institute of Directors (IoD) survey.

The survey showed that 42% of UK international traders expect export growth over the next 12 months. It also revealed that 47% of businesses are still finding Brexit challenging, and just 33% envisage opportunities materialising as a result of Brexit.

Additionally, 28% of firms reported that supply chain disruption has had a negative impact on their business, and 12% have an exportable product but are not currently exporting.

Emma Rowland, Policy Adviser for Trade at the IoD, said:

‘There is no doubt that smaller businesses in particular are finding the current international trading environment challenging. Importers and exporters feel especially constricted by the UK’s new trading relationship with the EU.

‘It is therefore encouraging that, in spite of these barriers, businesses are anticipating an increase in exports over the coming months. There are opportunities that give traders reason to be optimistic.’

Internet link: IoD website

The UK economy is to suffer the biggest hit of all the G7 nations next year, according to a report from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

The OECD forecasts that the UK’s GDP will reduce 0.4% next year and grow 0.2% in 2024. This is better than previous OECD predictions which has been for the economy to remain static.

The only other G7 economy to contract next year is Germany’s. which will experience a smaller contraction of 0.3%.

Growth will be small in the majority of the G7 nations. Italy’s GDP will grow 0.2%, the US will see 0.5%, France will experience 0.6% while Canada and Japan will see rises of 1% and 1.8% respectively.

The government’s Energy Price Guarantee scheme will increase inflation, requiring hiked interest rates which will result in higher borrowing costs, said the OECD report.

Mathias Cormann, OECD Secretary-General, said:

‘The global economy is facing serious headwinds. We are dealing with a major energy crisis and risks continue to be titled to the downside with lower global growth, high inflation, weak confidence and high levels of uncertainty making successful navigation of the economy out of this crisis and back toward a sustainable recovery very challenging.

‘An end to the war and a just peace for Ukraine would be the most impactful way to improve the global economic outlook right now. Until this happens, it is important that governments deploy both short- and medium-term policy measures to confront the crisis, to cushion its impact in the short term while building the foundations for a stronger and sustainable recovery.’

Internet link: OECD website

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) praised Chancellor Jeremy Hunt for ‘delivering stability and protecting the most vulnerable‘ in the Autumn Statement.

The business group welcomed the freeze in business rates and extra support for those facing higher bills. Additionally, it said that staying the course on R&D spending and major infrastructure will give a boost to communities and the country.

However, the CBI also warned the government that many businesses will ‘think there’s more to be done on growth’. It stated that stabilising the public finances ‘inevitably means difficult decisions have to be taken’, and that businesses will consider a freeze in the national insurance contribution (NIC) thresholds and additional windfall taxes as ‘the sharpest stings in the tail’.

Rain Newton-Smith, Chief Economist at the CBI, said:

‘The Autumn Statement lays down an important marker for the direction of the country. Business will work with government to turn [the] ambitions into a serious plan for growth that can lift us all out of the current crisis.’

Internet links: CBI website

The UK’s tax burden will rise after Chancellor Jeremy Hunt reduced the threshold on the top rate of tax and announced freezes on other taxes in the Autumn Statement.

The threshold for the top 45% additional rate of income tax was cut to £125,140 from £150,000.

The government is also fixing other personal tax thresholds within income tax, NICs and inheritance tax for an additional two years, until April 2028.

The Dividend Allowance will be reduced from £2,000 to £1,000 next year and £500 from April 2024.

In addition, the capital gains tax exemption will be reduced from £12,300 to £6,000 next year and then to £3,000 from April 2024.

As energy prices continue to drive inflation, the Chancellor confirmed that the Energy Price Guarantee will be extended for a year from April 2023. However, the level at which typical bills are capped will increase to £3,000 a year from £2,500.

The windfall tax on the profits of oil and gas firms was increased from 25% to 35% and extended until March 2028.

The Chancellor also announced a £13.6 billion package of support for business rates payers in England. To protect businesses from rising inflation, the multiplier will be frozen in 2023/24, while relief for 230,000 businesses in the retail, hospitality and leisure sectors was also increased from 50% to 75% next year.

Mr Hunt also confirmed the National Living Wage (NLW) will rise from £9.50 to £10.42 an hour, while the triple lock on state pensions was protected.

The Chancellor said:

‘There is a global energy crisis, a global inflation crisis and a global economic crisis. But today with this plan for stability, growth and public services, we will face into the storm. Because of the difficult decisions we take in our plan, we strengthen our public finances, bring down inflation and protect jobs.’

Internet links: GOV.UK