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Chancellor Rachel Reeves insisted she has the ‘right economic plan’ for the UK in her Spring Forecast Statement announcement.

Ms Reeves acknowledged the economic uncertainty caused by war in the Middle East and pledged to chart a course through the turbulence.

The Chancellor’s speech focused on economic growth, the cost of living and public borrowing.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) cut its growth forecast for this year to 1.1% from 1.4%. However, it said the economy will grow faster in 2027 and 2028.

The OBR’s forecast shows GDP per person is now set to grow more than was expected in the Autumn Budget, with growth of 5.6% over the course of this Parliament.

In addition, Ms Reeves said she was cutting the cost of living, including reducing people’s energy bills by £150 and freezing rail fares.

The OBR’s forecast shows inflation, borrowing and debt interest are falling, whilst investment is rising.

The Chancellor also said she has cut public borrowing, which the OBR said is down by nearly £18 billion compared to the autumn, with borrowing this year set to be the lowest in six years and falling below the G7 average.

The Chancellor concluded:

‘My plan is the right one. I am in no doubt about how great the rewards can be if we stay the course. The forecasts today confirm that the choices this government has made are the right ones.

‘Stability in our public finances, interest rates and inflation falling, living standards rising, more children lifted out of poverty, more appointments in our NHS, more investment in our infrastructure, a growing economy and more money in the pockets of working people.’

Internet link: GOV.UK

Five major UK banks have agreed a £11 billion lending package aimed at SMEs to support small business growth, the government has announced.

The lending commitment is one of the largest collective moves by the banking sector in over a decade. The government says this represents an ‘historic show of confidence in the UK economy’.

Senior executives from NatWest, HSBC UK, Barclays, Lloyds and Santander finalised an agreement with the government on 26 January at a roundtable in Westminster convened by the Business Secretary and the CEO of UK Export Finance Tim Reid.

Combined, the banks serve half of all British businesses across all corners of the country.

Peter Kyle, the UK’s Business Secretary, said:

‘Strengthening Britain’s export potential relies on British businesses having the means, motive, and opportunity to succeed in new overseas markets.

‘The £11 billion these banks are making available will help meet the ambitions of smaller British businesses to fully export, expand and exploit these international market opportunities. It is positive proof of UK lenders’ confidence in the growth prospects of British enterprise.’

Internet link: GOV.UK

More than 4,800 self assessment scams have been reported since February 2025, according to data released by HMRC.

The tax authority says scammers are using persuasive and threatening tactics to target people when they are more likely to receive correspondence from HMRC. The scammers send fake tax demands or attempt to pressurise people to hand over personal information.

In the last 10 months, taxpayers have reported more than 135,500 HMRC-related scams, including 29,000 scams referring to fake tax refund claims.

HMRC is reminding customers to be vigilant and check whether the email, SMS message or phone call claiming to be from HMRC is genuine on GOV.UK.

Lucy Pike, HMRC’s Chief Security Officer, said:

‘Millions of people file a tax return each year and scammers mimic HMRC to try and catch unsuspecting victims out.

‘I’m urging people to stay vigilant and if any emails, text messages or phone calls appear suspicious – don’t be lured into clicking on links or sharing your personal information – report it directly to HMRC. Just search ‘report an HMRC scam’ on GOV.UK to find out more.’

The UK can expect to see big falls in the rate of inflation this year, according to the Resolution Foundation.

The think tank’s prediction comes despite an increase in December 2025 that saw the UK end the year with the highest headline inflation of any G7 economy – an unwanted position it has now held for the past seven months.

UK inflation increased from 3.2% in November to 3.4% in December, keeping the UK at the top of the G7 leaderboard.

CPI inflation expectedly increased in December, driven by tobacco duty, airfares and food. Food prices rose by 4.5% in the 12 months to December, up 0.8% compared with November. Bread and cereals made the largest contribution to this rise, which is disappointing given such staples make up a larger share of spending for lower-income families.

The think tank says that better news is coming this year, with the Bank of England forecasting a broad-based 0.5 percentage point fall in January. With inflation still below the Bank’s forecast, it remains on track to head back towards its target rate over the course of 2026.

James Smith, Research Director at the Resolution Foundation, said:

‘UK inflation ended last year on a ‘high’ with an unwelcome uptick in price rises.

‘And while Britain hopes to lead the G7 economic leaderboard for growth, it has instead spent the last seven months at the top of the charts for inflation instead.

‘But big falls are due in 2026, with inflation finally returning to back to more normal levels. However, the scars from a long period of acute price pressures will continue to be felt by families.’

Despite falling behind its peers the UK economy could be on the brink of a turnaround so the government must ramp up rather than run-down its growth strategy, says the Resolution Foundation.

A report by the think tank warns that the UK’s poor post-financial crisis economic performance has continued well into the 2020s. Its GDP per head is now languishing 15% behind its former peers, including France, Germany and Canada.

There are signs that the UK economy may be turning a corner however, with productivity growing by 3.4% over the past 18 months.

The report says the government’s three-pronged strategy of restoring stability, increasing investment and reforming the economy is the right one for the challenges Britain faces.

Greg Thwaites, Research Director at the Resolution Foundation, said:

‘There’s lots to welcome in the government’s economic growth strategy. But it has spent much of the past 18 months undermining that strategy with policy U-turns, kite-flying tax ideas and timidity in areas like trade where it needs to be bold.

‘With signs that productivity may be turning a corner, the government must capitalise by ramping up its plans. It should redouble efforts to unblock housebuilding in major cities, focus job support for young and older workers, and decide whether to bite the bullet and reverse some of the damage from Brexit.’