The energy price cap is now expected to rise to around £2,800 in October, according to the UK’s energy regulator.

Jonathan Brearley, Chief Executive of Ofgem, warned MPs on the Commons business committee about the increase. Mr Brearley told the committee that the price cap, which is currently £1,971, will increase due to continued volatility in the gas market.

He said the price rises were a once in a generation event not seen since the oil crisis in the 1970s. The Ofgem Chief Executive also warned that the number of people in fuel poverty could double.

The energy price cap is the maximum price per unit that suppliers can charge customers. It rose in April, meaning that homes using a typical amount of gas and electricity are now paying an extra £700 per year on average.

Mr Brearley said:

‘I am afraid to say conditions have worsened in the global gas market since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Gas prices are higher and highly volatile. At times they have now reached over ten times their normal level.

‘I know this is a very distressing time for customers, but I do need to be clear with this committee, with customers and with the government about the likely price implications for October.

‘Therefore, later today I will be writing to the Chancellor to give him our latest estimates of the price cap uplift.’

Internet links: BBC News website

Inflation has hit its highest level in 40 years amid the deteriorating cost-of-living crisis, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The rate shot up to 9% last month – its highest level since comparable readings in 1982.

Data released by the ONS showed a broad-based hike in prices for everyday goods and services during April, with a significant cause of the increase accounted for by the unprecedented 54% increase in the energy price cap, which kicked in at the start of the month.

The highest prices on record for both petrol and diesel were other major factors.

Commenting on the data, Rain Newton-Smith, Chief Economist at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), said:

‘Inflation was always likely to hit hard in April given the energy price cap increase.

‘Looking ahead, inflation is likely to stay high, with a resulting historic squeeze in households’ incomes and a tough trading environment for businesses.

‘It is critical the government explores options to help people facing real hardship now, and support cashflow for vulnerable firms. Stimulating business investment is also crucial, to both plug the near-term gap in growth and to shore up the economy’s potential to withstand future shocks.’

Internet link: ONS website CBI press release

There are now more than a million workers missing from the workforce compared to pre-pandemic figures, according to a report published by the IPPR think tank.

About 400,000 of these are no longer working because of health factors relating to the pandemic, including long Covid, according to the IPPR.

The report suggests that unresolved, this ‘will drag down economic activity this year by an estimated £8 billion’.

The nation’s health affects the economy in more ways than keeping workers away from their jobs.  Poor health can affect productivity and promote chronic stress. Inhabitants of economically deprived areas of the country show poorer health, have fewer job opportunities and tend to be paid less.

Dame Sally Davies, co-chair of the Commission on Health and Prosperity, said:

‘A fairer country is a healthier one, and a healthier country is a more prosperous one. While the restrictions have eased, the scars of the pandemic still remain deep on the nation’s health and our economy.

‘Not only are we facing a severe cost of living crisis, driven in part by pandemic induced inflation, we’re also experiencing a workforce shortage driven by poor health that’s holding back the economy. It has never been more important to put good health at the heart of our society and economy – and our commission will bring forward a plan to do just that.’

Internet link: IPPR website

Data published by the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) shows that UK export growth has been effectively stagnant for the past year.

The BCC’s quarterly Trade Confidence Outlook revealed that the proportion of exporters reporting increased overseas sales was 29%, whilst 25% reported a decrease.

Manufacturers were more likely to report increased export sales than business-to-business firms or business-to-consumer firms (such as online stores), the data showed.

William Bain, Head of Trade Policy at the BCC, said:

‘UK exporters are facing the headwinds of higher red tape costs from trading with the EU, raised raw material pressures and ongoing issues in global shipping markets.

‘If we are to realise the aspirations of the UK government’s Export Strategy then 2022 has to be the year where these structural factors holding back our exporters are addressed.

‘Sustained export growth should be powering our economic recovery from the pandemic.’

Internet link: BCC website

HMRC has launched a new one-stop online shop designed to provide taxpayers with information on the tax reliefs and financial help available from HMRC.

In a new section of the GOV.UK website, HMRC has listed financial support available to ensure individuals are not missing out. There is guidance on relief for childcare and work-related expenses, as well as information about savings and getting help if you cannot pay your tax bill.

The shop is designed to make it easier than ever for taxpayers to claim the benefits, credits and allowances they are entitled to. HMRC has provided online guidance and tools to permit people to check if they are eligible for each relief.

Myrtle Lloyd, Director General for Customer Services at HMRC, said:

‘We understand these are very difficult times for many so it’s vitally important we continue to highlight the range of support available.

‘We’d encourage those who think they may be eligible for support to take a look and claim what they’re entitled to – it could make an important difference to household budgets at a time when it’s needed the most.’

Internet link: GOV.UK